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Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) just scored a major credibility boost. The crypto exchange is set to join the S&P 500 (SPY) index on May 19, replacing Discover Financial, which is being acquired by Capital One. The news sent Coinbase shares soaring 22.6% at 1.30pm. Oppenheimer called it a watershed moment and raised their price target to $293, noting that index inclusion could drive fresh institutional demand as passive funds are forced to buy in. For a sector once dismissed as speculative, this move signals how quickly crypto is becoming part of the financial establishment.
Behind the scenes, Coinbase isn't slowing down. The company recently agreed to acquire crypto derivatives exchange Deribit for $2.9 billion, giving it deeper access to the growing crypto options market. With dry powder on hand, analysts believe more deals could followpossibly even in emerging areas like prediction markets. Coinbase has also been expanding internationally, positioning itself to benefit from both a recovering market and shifting regulatory tides, especially as expectations build for a lighter-touch policy environment under a potential second Trump term.
From a technical lens, the picture is equally interesting. While Coinbase stock is down just over 2% year-to-date, trading volume has surgedsuggesting accumulation beneath the surface. This kind of price-volume divergence often precedes major moves, especially when paired with catalysts like S&P 500 inclusion. With the spotlight firmly on COIN, investors may want to pay attention before the broader market catches on.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.