Stocks had another good day on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 (SPX), S&P 100 (OEX), Nasdaq, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) all rising about 0.6%. The major indices are putting together a very good streak. Over the past six days, the SPX has popped 7.8%, the best move since March 2022 (which turned out to be a bear-market rally); November 2020; and March and April 2020 (coming out of the pandemic). Prior to 2020, we have not seen that much strength over a six-day period since 2011. The Nasdaq and the QQQ have jumped 10% in six days, but this is much more common with these more-volatile indices. The major indices are quickly approaching some key pieces of resistance, so it wouldn't be surprising if stocks cooled off a bit in the not-too-distant future. The sharply declining 50-day average for the SPX will be near 5,600 in a couple of days, while a 61.8% retracement of the correction lies at 5,646. The flat 200-day is up at 5,746 and overhead supply starts at 5,700 and runs back up to the old highs above 6,100. Both the Nasdaq and the QQQ have almost reached their 50-day averages, with a 61.8% retracement for the Nasdaq coming in at 18,070 and a 61.8% take back for the QQQ at 487. The 200-day for the Nasdaq is at 18,300 and for the QQQ it is at 490. While we have seen multiple breadth thrusts, which generally bode well for the intermediate/long-term, many breadth measures remain depressed and will need to improve in the months ahead. Only 37% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are above their 200-day; for the OEX, the reading is 47%; and for the QQQ it is 43%. (Mark Arbeter, CMT)

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The indices took a break on Tuesday after the recent nice snapback rally, and some of the biggest gainers were stocks that have been very poor performers over the intermediate and longer terms. Rotation is alive and is a major contributor to the longevity of any bull market. As long as the money stays in the market, things have a way of balancing out. But when sellers do not rotate funds (and raise cash instead) problems often follow. So far, it appears that some of the recently beaten-up stocks are experiencing nice demand, with some even seeing steady call option buying. Heavy bullish option activity is associated with institutions and hedge funds seeing value. Over the past week and during the days since the major indices bottomed on March 13, the biggest S&P 500 (SPX) gainers have been TSLA (+27%), PLTR (+15%), BA (+13%), UAL, RCL, and AMD (all up 11%), DRI (+10%), JBL and APH (up 9%), and NRG, IP, COF, GM, FCX, APO, ULTA, and CEG (all up 8%). Some of these stocks were hammered over the past month or two, others have been terrible long-term performers, and a few can be considered market leaders. Also of note, the stocks come from seven different SPX sectors and from diverse industries. The weakest SPX issues over the past week also come from many sectors, but are more concentrated in the Healthcare sector. The drug and biotech stocks were particularly weak Tuesday on tariff news. The worst weekly SPX performers include NKE (-9%), CRL (-8%), MRK, UPS, MU, LVS, and LYB (all down 7%), and ABBV, INTC, DOW, IT, and LMT (all off 6%). (Mark Arbeter, CMT)