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Rock-bottom prices don't always mean rock-bottom businesses. The stocks we're examining today have all touched their 52-week lows, creating a classic investor's dilemma: bargain opportunity or value trap?
While market timing can be an extremely profitable strategy, it has burned many investors and requires rigorous analysis - something we specialize in at StockStory. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where the outlook is warranted and some alternatives with better fundamentals.
General Mills (GIS)
One-Month Return: -4.6%
Best known for its portfolio of powerhouse breakfast cereal brands, General Mills (NYSE:GIS) is a packaged foods company that has also made a mark in cereals, baking products, and snacks.
Why Are We Hesitant About GIS?
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Declining unit sales over the past two years indicate demand is soft and that the company may need to revise its product strategy
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Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
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Projected sales decline of 4.3% for the next 12 months points to a tough demand environment ahead
At $55 per share, General Mills trades at 13x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with GIS, check out our full research report (it’s free).
JELD-WEN (JELD)
One-Month Return: -23.1%
Founded in the 1960s as a general wood-making company, JELD-WEN (NYSE:JELD) manufactures doors, windows, and other related building products.
Why Are We Out on JELD?
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Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
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10.7 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
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Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
JELD-WEN’s stock price of $4 implies a valuation ratio of 6.7x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why JELD doesn’t pass our bar.
3D Systems (DDD)
One-Month Return: -3.4%
Founded by the inventor of stereolithography, 3D Systems (NYSE:DDD) engineers, manufactures, and sells 3D printers and other related products to the aerospace, automotive, healthcare, and consumer goods industries.
Why Do We Think DDD Will Underperform?
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Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 6.9% annually over the last five years
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Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value
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Short cash runway increases the probability of a capital raise that dilutes existing shareholders