Should You Be Concerned About Hindustan Construction Company Limited's (NSE:HCC) Historical Volatility?

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If you own shares in Hindustan Construction Company Limited (NSE:HCC) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

View our latest analysis for Hindustan Construction

What does HCC's beta value mean to investors?

Given that it has a beta of 1.14, we can surmise that the Hindustan Construction share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Hindustan Construction are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Share price volatility is well worth considering, but most long term investors consider the history of revenue and earnings growth to be more important. Take a look at how Hindustan Construction fares in that regard, below.

NSEI:HCC Income Statement, June 10th 2019
NSEI:HCC Income Statement, June 10th 2019

How does HCC's size impact its beta?

With a market capitalisation of ₹20b, Hindustan Construction is a very small company by global standards. It is quite likely to be unknown to most investors. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Since Hindustan Construction has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether HCC is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Hindustan Construction’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following: