Does The Ceconomy AG (FRA:CEC) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

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If you own shares in Ceconomy AG (FRA:CEC) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk', beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

Check out our latest analysis for Ceconomy

What CEC's beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 1.77, we can surmise that the Ceconomy share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If the past is any guide, we would expect that Ceconomy shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Ceconomy's revenue and earnings in the image below.

DB:CEC Income Statement, August 29th 2019
DB:CEC Income Statement, August 29th 2019

Does CEC's size influence the expected beta?

With a market capitalisation of €1.7b, Ceconomy is a small cap stock. However, it is big enough to catch the attention of professional investors. It has a relatively high beta, which is not unusual among small-cap stocks. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a smaller company, actively traded small-cap stocks often have a higher beta that a similar large-cap stock.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the Ceconomy share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there's plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether CEC is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Ceconomy’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following: