In This Article:
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Downer EDI (ASX:DOW), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Downer EDI is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.069 = AU$283m ÷ (AU$6.7b - AU$2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Downer EDI has an ROCE of 6.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for Downer EDI
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Downer EDI compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Downer EDI .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Things have been pretty stable at Downer EDI, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Downer EDI doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. That probably explains why Downer EDI has been paying out 62% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
Our Take On Downer EDI's ROCE
In a nutshell, Downer EDI has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 15% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Downer EDI that we think you should be aware of.