Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from EVT Limited (ASX:EVT) the stock price made a strong positive move. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for EVT

Zooming In On EVT's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to December 2024, EVT recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of AU$142m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of AU$8.85m. EVT's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given EVT's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by AU$11m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If EVT doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On EVT's Profit Performance

In conclusion, EVT's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if EVT's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing EVT at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for EVT and we think they deserve your attention.