Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Cobram Estate Olives Limited's (ASX:CBO) Stock Up Recently?

editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Sun, Jan 5, 2025, 4:47 PM 4 min read

Cobram Estate Olives (ASX:CBO) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 24% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Cobram Estate Olives' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Cobram Estate Olives

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cobram Estate Olives is:

5.8% = AU$19m ÷ AU$322m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each A$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made A$0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Cobram Estate Olives' Earnings Growth And 5.8% ROE

At first glance, Cobram Estate Olives' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.8%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Moreover, we are quite pleased to see that Cobram Estate Olives' net income grew significantly at a rate of 29% over the last five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the growth figure reported by Cobram Estate Olives compares quite favourably to the industry average, which shows a decline of 6.1% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth — ASX:CBO Past Earnings Growth January 5th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CBO? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Cobram Estate Olives Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 74% (implying that it keeps only 26% of profits) for Cobram Estate Olives suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

Besides, Cobram Estate Olives has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 30% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 13% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Cobram Estate Olives has some positive aspects to its business. That is, quite an impressive growth in earnings. However, the low profit retention means that the company's earnings growth could have been higher, had it been reinvesting a higher portion of its profits. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.