Fleetwood Limited's (ASX:FWD) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

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Fleetwood (ASX:FWD) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10.0% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Fleetwood's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Fleetwood

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fleetwood is:

2.3% = AU$3.8m ÷ AU$165m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each A$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made A$0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Fleetwood's Earnings Growth And 2.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Fleetwood's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 14%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Fleetwood's five year net income decline of 18% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 3.8% in the same 5-year period, we still found Fleetwood's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:FWD Past Earnings Growth February 26th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fleetwood is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.