If You Had Bought Bank of Gansu (HKG:2139) Stock A Year Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 19% Loss, Today

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The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. Unfortunately the Bank of Gansu Co., Ltd. (HKG:2139) share price slid 19% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned -3.4%. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Bank of Gansu because we don't have a long term history to look at.

See our latest analysis for Bank of Gansu

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Unhappily, Bank of Gansu had to report a 23% decline in EPS over the last year. This proportional reduction in earnings per share isn't far from the 19% decrease in the share price. Given the lower EPS we might have expected investors to lose confidence in the stock, but that doesn't seemed to have happened. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

SEHK:2139 Past and Future Earnings, April 29th 2019
SEHK:2139 Past and Future Earnings, April 29th 2019

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

A Different Perspective

We doubt Bank of Gansu shareholders are happy with the loss of 19% over twelve months (even including dividends). That falls short of the market, which lost 3.4%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. With the stock down 2.7% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. Before spending more time on Bank of Gansu it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.