Is HeidelbergCement (ETR:HEI) A Risky Investment?

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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital. It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that HeidelbergCement AG (ETR:HEI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HeidelbergCement

What Is HeidelbergCement's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2019, HeidelbergCement had €12.4b of debt, up from €11.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had €1.88b in cash, and so its net debt is €10.5b.

XTRA:HEI Historical Debt, October 4th 2019
XTRA:HEI Historical Debt, October 4th 2019

How Strong Is HeidelbergCement's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HeidelbergCement had liabilities of €7.79b due within 12 months and liabilities of €12.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.88b and €3.24b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €14.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of €12.4b, we think shareholders really should watch HeidelbergCement's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.