Jim Chanos: The Psychology of Short Selling

- By Stepan Lavrouk

Jim Chanos (Trades, Portfolio) is probably one of the most well-known short sellers on Wall Street. He founded his firm, Kynikos Associates, in 1985 and has been involved in many of the big short-side trades of the last few decades. He was made headlines in the early 2000s with his bet against Enron, and more recently he has been a vocal critic of Tesla (TSLA). Kynikos has a total of $6 billion under management, $5.5 billion of which is short only, with the other $500 million deployed long/short. In this interview , Chanos explains how short-selling differs (and how it does not differ) from long-side investing.


Tools of the trade

When it comes to the tools of the trade, Chanos thinks that both long investors and short-side operators need the same things - a solid grasp of valuation and accounting. However, what is markedly different is the mindset of the short seller:


"When we talk about the skillset and the psychological profile of short selling - I used to think they were the same when I first started - I no longer think that. While the actual skill set for looking at companies should be exactly the same, whether you come at something as long or short - you should be analyzing the same kind of ratios, making the same phone calls - I think the psychological, behavioural part of the equation is completely different".



Chanos believes that the main difference arises because the prevailing sentiment in the market is always in favour of the long investor. It's human nature to want growth and prosperity and success, and anyone who bets against that is automatically going to receive a certain amount of backlash:


"If you think about Wall Street - it's a giant positive reinforcement machine. I come in every morning, flip on my Blackberry, check Bloomberg - and of the 100 short ideas that we have in our global fund, I can pretty much confidently predict that there are going to be 20% to 25% every day that are going to have some sort of commentary about it: research reports, analyst buy recommendations reaffirmed, estimates raised, CEO is on Bloomberg or CNBC - and generally it's noise, there's not that much informational content in that.

But its positive noise - it's why you should be investing in company A,B,C, or that they're a takeover target, or that they have some new product. And most people don't even notice that, because they're in the business of going long securities. It's like the music that plays in the background of the investment world."