Joel Greenblatt’s Return, Portfolio and Magic Formula

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In this article, we will discuss value investor Joel Greenblatt’s portfolio, hedge fund returns, and his Magic Formula. You can skip our detailed analysis of Greenblatt’s investment philosophy and his hedge fund’s performance over the years, and go directly to read Joel Greenblatt's Top 5 Stock Picks.

Joel Greenblatt, renowned for his expertise in value investing, holds a prominent position among Wall Street's notable investors. In 1985, he established Gotham Capital, a venture that yielded an impressive annualized return of 50% from 1985 to 1994. Recognizing the need for progression, Greenblatt founded Gotham Asset Management in 2008 as a successor to his previous fund. Presently, he assumes the role of Managing Principle and Co-Chief Investment Officer.

Greenblatt is most famous for creating the “Magic Formula," a systematic methodology that can be used to find and identify value stocks with growth potential. The Magic Formula, as explained by Joel Greenblatt in his book The Little Book that Beats the Market, involves ranking stocks based on two metrics: earnings yield (EBIT/enterprise value) and return on capital (EBIT/invested capital). Greenblatt’s approach to investing can be called a combination of value investing and quality investing. It’s all about buying a high-quality company at an attractive price. Or, viewed from a different angle, buying a cheap company that isn’t a waste. As Greenblatt stated in a 2006 interview with Barron's, the Magic Formula is designed to help investors with “buying good companies, on average, at cheap prices, on average.”

However, investors should take note that the Magic Formula is not the Holy Grail of investing. It does not guarantee success, and as with any other strategy, it does involve some level of risk. The strategy relies on historical data and may not perform as well in the future, especially if market conditions were to change. During a backtest conducted to analyze market performance from 2003 to 2015, it was discovered that the Magic Formula strategy yielded annualized returns of 11.4%. In comparison, the S&P 500 achieved returns of 8.7%. The author of the backtest observed that while the magic formula strategy did outperform the benchmark, it fell short of the exaggerated claims made in the Little Book.

Incidentally, Joel Greenblatt’s investment technique seems to have caused his hedge fund to lag behind the broader market. Over the past 5 years, Gotham Large Value Fund (GVALX) has gained only 9.15%, compared with a 12.31% return of the S&P 500.