JPMorgan posts Q3 earnings beat; warns more stimulus needed for COVID-hit economy

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JPMorgan Chase (JPM), the largest U.S. bank by assets, kicked off the third-quarter earnings season for big banks on Tuesday by delivering stronger-than-expected results as the coronavirus outbreak continues to roil the global economy.

Here were the key figures versus expectations for the third quarter, according to analysts polled by Bloomberg.

  • Revenue (adjusted): $29.94 billion vs. $28.39 billion expected

  • Earnings per share (adjusted): $2.92 vs. $2.26 per share expected

Despite a COVID-19 crisis that’s still walloping the economy, the bank set aside $611 million in credit reserves for the quarter — much less than analysts expected and down $903 million from this same quarter a year ago. The firm had set aside $15.7 billion in the first half of 2020, and the lower Q3 figure underscores how consumers have defied the worst predictions associated with the crisis — even as the labor market remains scarred by mass layoffs.

JPMorgan earned $9.4 billion of net income on nearly $30 billion of revenue, and held credit reserves at $34 billion in the face of “significant economic uncertainty and a broad range of potential outcomes,” CEO Jamie Dimon noted.

On a call with reporters, CFO Jennifer Piepszak said the firm views “another round of stimulus as important” to relieve the pain and suffering felt by many. She added that the bank does not assume future stimulus in its current level of loan loss reserves, but another round would give the firm “more confidence” in its level of reserves.

“If there is a double-dip, there are a lot of things we would consider, and it is possible that we’d have to build our reserves beyond the base case today,” Piepszak said.

Dimon added that the people who need help the most with stimulus are the small businesses and the unemployed. The bank chief noted that “a good, well-designed stimulus package will increase the chance of better outcomes.”

“There’s so much uncertainty...We’re just saying that will increase the chance of good outcomes,” Dimon said — which could impact JPMorgan’s own bottom line and cash reserves.

“We don’t know the future. It’s all about probability and how we can reserve today,” Dimon explained. “We’d like to maximize the chance of good outcomes. We believe a decent stimulus package would be helpful.”

During the quarter, JPMorgan’s bottom line was bolstered by strength in corporate and investment banking. Markets and securities services revenue jumped 29% to $7.8 billion, with markets revenue up 30% at $6.6 billion compared to a year ago. Fixed-income trading revenues rose 29% to $4.6 billion, while equity trading surged 32% to $2 billion. Securities services revenue remained flat at $1 billion.