Daktronics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DAKT) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
NasdaqGS:DAKT Earnings and Revenue History March 13th 2025
A Closer Look At Daktronics' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Daktronics has an accrual ratio of -0.33 for the year to January 2025. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$66m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.82m. Daktronics' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Daktronics increased the number of shares on issue by 13% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Daktronics' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Daktronics' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 97%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 97% in the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, if Daktronics' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Daktronics' profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$5.4m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Daktronics doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
Our Take On Daktronics' Profit Performance
Summing up, Daktronics' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed (and could bounce back), while the dilution is a negative for shareholders. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Daktronics' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. If you want to do dive deeper into Daktronics, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Daktronics and you'll want to know about these bad boys.
Our examination of Daktronics has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
