National Beverage Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FIZZ) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Wed, Apr 9, 2025, 10:35 AM 3 min read

It is hard to get excited after looking at National Beverage's (NASDAQ:FIZZ) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to National Beverage's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for National Beverage is:

46% = US$186m ÷ US$400m (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2025).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.46 in profit.

View our latest analysis for National Beverage

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of National Beverage's Earnings Growth And 46% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that National Beverage has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 16% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Yet, National Beverage has posted measly growth of 4.2% over the past five years. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or or poor allocation of capital.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that National Beverage's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 9.0% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth — NasdaqGS:FIZZ Past Earnings Growth April 9th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if National Beverage is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E , relative to its industry.

Is National Beverage Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

National Beverage doesn't pay any regular dividends, which means that it is retaining all of its earnings. However, there's only been very little earnings growth to show for it. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Summary

Overall, we feel that National Beverage certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.