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Q1 2025 Cincinnati Financial Corp Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Dennis McDaniel; Vice President, Investor Relations Officer; Cincinnati Financial Corp

Stephen Spray; President, Chief Executive Officer, Director; Cincinnati Financial Corp

Michael Sewell; Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer, Treasurer; Cincinnati Financial Corp

Michael Phillips; Analyst; Oppenheimer

Mike Zaremski; Analyst; BMO Capital Markets

Josh Shanker; Analyst; Bank of America

Paul Newsome; Analyst; Piper Sandler

Meyer Shields; Analyst; Keefe Bruyette & Woods (KBW)

Presentation

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Cincinnati Financial Corporation first-quarter 2025 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Please note, this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Dennis McDaniel, Investor Relations Officer. Please go ahead.

Dennis McDaniel

Hello. This is Dennis McDaniel at Cincinnati Financial. Thank you for joining us for our first-quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Late yesterday, we issued a news release on our results, along with our supplemental financial package, including our quarter-end investment portfolio. To find copies of any of these documents, please visit our investor website, investors.cinfin.com. The shortest route to the information is the quarterly results section near the middle of the Investor Overview page.
On this call, you'll first hear from President and Chief Executive Officer, Steve Spray; and then from Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Mike Sewell. After their prepared remarks, investors participating on the call may ask questions. At that time, some responses may be made by others in the room with us, including Executive Chairman, Steve Johnston; Chief Investment Officer, Steve Soloria; and Cincinnati Insurance's Chief Claims Officer, Marc Schambow; and Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance, Theresa Hoffer.
Please note that some of the matters to be discussed today are forward-looking. These forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties. With respect to these risks and uncertainties, we direct your attention to our news release and to our various filings with the SEC. Also, a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures was provided with the news release. Statutory accounting data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules and therefore, is not reconciled to GAAP.
Now I'll turn over the call to Steve.

Stephen Spray

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to hear more about our results. The first quarter of 2025 had its share of challenges, from the wildfires in California to freezing and flooding across the plains to wind and water in the Midwest and East Coast. Almost every area of the country was impacted by a weather-related catastrophe this quarter. While catastrophe losses can dampen earnings on a short-term basis, we know they present an opportunity for our claims service to shine and reinforce the noble purpose of our business.
Our claims professionals again demonstrated the value of a Cincinnati policy by helping policyholders recover from damaged homes and businesses. I'm proud of the way they have responded with prompt and personal service in handling each claim with care and empathy. The effects of these catastrophes offset otherwise profitable results from our insurance operations and strong investment income that continue to grow at a double-digit percentage pace. As I look deeper into our results for the quarter, I see several areas of strong performance. I remain confident in our long-term plans and in our ability to execute on our proven strategy.
In addition to growing investment income, property casualty premiums continued to increase at a nice pace and included strong renewal pricing. Our commercial lines insurance segment produced a superb combined ratio of 91.9%, continuing its steady improvement over the past three years. Our excess and surplus lines also had an outstanding quarter, including a combined ratio below 90%.
In terms of consolidated results on our income statement, we reported a net loss of $90 million for the first quarter of 2025, including recognition of $56 million on an after-tax basis for the decrease in fair value of equity securities still held. It also included a non-gap operating loss of $37 million a swing of $309 million from a year ago. The change was driven by a $356 million increase in after-tax catastrophe losses.
Our 113.3% first-quarter 2025 property casualty combined ratio was 19.7 percentage points higher than the first quarter of last year, including an increase of 19.1 points for catastrophe losses. Our 90.5% accident year 2025 combined ratio before catastrophe losses improved by 0.6 percentage points compared with accident year 2024 for the first quarter. Without the effects of reduced premiums from reinstating reinsurance treaties related to the California wildfires, it would have improved an additional 2 percentage points.
During the first quarter of 2025, our catastrophe reinsurance program responded as intended for a large event. The estimated first-quarter recovery from our primary property catastrophe reinsurance treaty for the wildfires was $429 million based on our estimate of gross losses at the end of the quarter. Our consolidated property casualty net written premiums grew 11% for the quarter, including 14% growth in agency renewal premiums and 11% in new business premiums. We were satisfied with premium growth for the quarter, even with the unfavorable effect of the reinstatement premiums for our property catastrophe reinsurance treaty.
Our estimate of the net effect of all reinstatement premiums reduced first-quarter 2025 premiums by $52 million, slowing growth of consolidated property casualty net written premiums by about 2 percentage points. Our objective is profitable premium growth, and it is supported by various efforts. Our underwriters focus on pricing and risk segmentation on a policy-by-policy basis as they make risk selection decisions.
Combining that with average price increases should help us continue to improve our underwriting profitability. Estimated average renewal price increases for most lines of business during the first quarter were slightly lower than the fourth quarter of 2024. Commercial lines in total remained near the low end of the high single-digit percentage range, and excess and surplus lines remain near the high end of that range.
Our personal line segment included both personal auto and homeowner in the low double-digit range, with personal auto approaching the low end of that range. New business produced by agencies representing Cincinnati Insurance again contributed to premium growth. We continue the healthy pace of appointing agencies where we identify appropriate expansion opportunities consistent with our long-term growth strategy. I'll briefly comment on performance by insurance segment, highlighting premium growth and underwriting profitability compared with a year ago.
Commercial lines grew net written premiums 8% with an excellent 91.9% combined ratio that improved by 4.6 percentage points, including 2.6 points from lower catastrophe losses. Personal lines grew net written premiums 13%, including growth in middle market accounts and Cincinnati private clients. This combined ratio was 151.3%, 57.4 percentage points higher than last year, primarily due to an increase of 49.9 points from higher catastrophe losses. In addition, the effect of reinstatement premiums added approximately 8 points to the combined ratio before catastrophe losses.
The $64 million of reinstatement premiums included $63 million for our homeowner line of business and reduced personal lines premium growth by 11 full points. Excess and surplus lines grew net written premiums 15% with a very profitable combined ratio of 88.3%, an improvement of 3.6 percentage points compared with a year ago.
Both Cincinnati Re and Cincinnati Global experienced significant impacts from the California wildfires this quarter, resulting in an underwriting loss for Cincinnati Re and reducing Cincinnati Global's underwriting profit. Cincinnati Re grew first-quarter 2025 net written premiums 26%, including an estimated favorable 6 percentage points from the $12 million net effect of reinstatement premiums related to the wildfires. It had 137.4% combined ratio, which included 63.9 percentage points from catastrophe losses. The $103 million of catastrophe losses Cincinnati Re reported for the quarter included $104 million for the wildfires.
Cincinnati Global's combined ratio was 95.8% for the first quarter, 26 percentage points higher than last year, driven by an increase of 23.4 points from higher catastrophe losses, including $20 million for the wildfires. Its net written premiums decreased 9% from a year ago due to lower direct and facultative property premiums reflecting underwriting discipline in the face of a softening market. Our life insurance subsidiary continued to help temper earnings volatility that can occur in the property casualty industry with its 11% improvement in net income while growing earned premiums by 1%.
I'll conclude with our primary measure of long-term financial performance, the value creation ratio. Our first-quarter 2025 VCR was negative 0.5%. While that is a disappointing short-term result, it's important to remember that we've always emphasized that performance over the long term is the main focus of this measure. Net income before investment gains or losses for the quarter contributed negative 0.3%. Slightly lower overall valuation of our investment portfolio and other items contributed negative 0.2%.
Next, Chief Financial Officer, Mike Sewell, will highlight some additional aspects of our financial performance.