Q1 2025 PennyMac Financial Services Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

David Spector; Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer; PennyMac Financial Services Inc

Daniel Perotti; Chief Financial Officer, Senior Managing Director; PennyMac Financial Services Inc

Michael Kaye; Analyst; Wells Fargo

Doug Harter; Analyst; UBS

Crispin Love; Analyst; Piper Sandler

Bose George; Analyst; KBW

Eric Hagen; Analyst; BTIG

Shanna Qiu; Analyst; Barclays

Presentation

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to PennyMac's Financial Services Inc's first quarter 2025 earnings call. Additional earnings materials, including presentation slides that will be referred to in this call are available on PennyMac's financial website at pfsi.pennymac.com.
Before we begin, let me remind you that this call may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks identified on slide 2 of the earnings presentation that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially as well as non-GAAP measures that have been reconciled to their GAAP equivalent in the earnings materials. I'd now like to introduce David Spector, PennyMac Financial's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Dan Perotti, PennyMac Financial's Chief Financial Officer.

David Spector

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and thank you to everyone for participating in our first quarter earnings call. For the first quarter, PFSI reported net income of $76 million or diluted earnings per share of $1.42 for an annualized return on equity of 8%. Excluding the impact of fair value changes, PFSI produced an annualized operating ROE of 15%, driven by continued strength in our servicing business and a solid contribution from our Production segment despite elevated mortgage rates.
In total, loan originations and acquisitions were $29 billion in unpaid principal balance, driving the continued growth of our servicing portfolio to $680 billion in unpaid principal balance with 2.7 million households. Before reviewing our quarterly results in greater detail, I would like to highlight our newly announced partnership with Team USA and the LA28 Olympic and Paralympic Games.
In recent periods, we have made significant investments in technology and capacity. And given our market position as the second largest producer of mortgage loans and the sixth largest servicer in the country, we are well positioned for sustained investment in our brand.
This strategic four year partnership is a powerful catalyst for our business. We will elevate our brand with our customers, business partners and employees while connecting PennyMac with the shared values of respect and excellence embodied by the US Olympic and Paralympic movement. Team USA has a massive fan base offering unparalleled reach. And brand association with the Olympic and Paralympic Games drives increased engagement, memorability and ultimately greater customer consideration.
This marks the first significant investment in our brand, building upon our established success in performance marketing. We expect the partnership to boost both portfolio recapture and nonportfolio customer acquisition with integrated campaigns and athlete partnerships that deliver the message of the importance of home and homeownership.
Additionally, this partnership is a key driver in our strategy to expand our market share in broker direct. Our association with Team USA will also foster a stronger sense of pride and purpose among our employees. And as we look to grow our employee base, this partnership increases PennyMac's value proposition as an employer of choice. It is important to note that this partnership is a strategic four year investment that we've structured to align with our financial discipline.
The related expenses will be lower in the early years of the partnership, gradually building into the culmination of the LA28 games. This phased approach allows us to strategically build brand relevance, awareness and engagement without significant upfront costs. We are incredibly enthusiastic about the opportunities this partnership presents and its potential to drive significant value across all facets of our business. Now turning to the origination market.
Current third-party estimates forecast total originations of $2 trillion in 2025, reflecting projections for growth in overall volumes with moderate contributions from both refinance and purchase. Despite broader economic volatility, industry consolidation and regulatory change, we remain intensely focused on the organic growth of our servicing portfolio and the continued development of our balanced business model and we are committed to successfully navigating this economic landscape without distraction.
As we've highlighted on slide 7, our synergistic relationship with PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, or PMT, continues to provide us with a unique competitive advantage. Our deep and experienced management team has built a best-in-class operating platform that includes a large and agile multichannel origination business and the scale servicing operations, both supported by industry-leading technology and processes we've thoughtfully developed over our long history. As we have demonstrated, this strategically built platform provides us the ability to generate strong returns for our stockholders across different market environments.
As a mortgage REIT, PMT provides a tax advantaged balance sheet to hold and invest in long-term mortgage assets. This model enables PFSI to generate capital-light recurring revenue streams in the form of servicing fees, fulfillment fees and management fees. PFSI's deep access to the origination market, combined with PMT's ability to execute private label securitizations and retain the related investments provide both entities the opportunity to capitalize on the evolving landscape for secondary market execution should the GSEs reduce their overall footprint.
We have repeatedly demonstrated that our balanced and diversified business model with leadership in both production and servicing and our dynamic hedging program enables strong financial performance and a foundation for continued growth as an industry-leading mortgage company regardless of the direction of interest rates.
As you can see on slide 8 of our presentation, we have produced operating returns on equity in the mid-teens during periods of higher rates, with the potential for increased returns when mortgage rates decline, as evidenced by our performance in the third quarter of last year.
Our large servicing business provides ongoing revenue and cash flow contributions in this higher rate environment and continues to provide the foundation for strong financial performance in the future. The unpaid principal balance of our servicing portfolio increased 2% from the prior quarter and 10% from March 31, 2024, as production volumes more than offset runoff from prepayments.
Because we retain the servicing rights on nearly all mortgage loan production and it's been one of the largest producers of mortgage loans in recent periods, we are uniquely positioned in the industry. Our large and growing portfolio of borrowers who recently entered into mortgages at higher rates stand to benefit from a refinance in the future when interest rates decline, positioning our Consumer Direct lending division for strong future growth.
On slide 9 of our earnings presentation, you can see that as of March 31, $240 billion in unpaid principal balance or 35% of the loans in our portfolio had a note rate above 5%. Approximately $107 billion were government loans and approximately $133 billion were conventional and other loans. The opportunity for earnings growth is highlighted on this slide, along with our historic refinance recapture rates, which have improved significantly from five years ago as a result of our ongoing technology enhancements and process improvements.
We expect these recapture rates to continue improving given our multiyear investments combined with the increased investment in our brand, as mentioned earlier, and use of targeted marketing strategies.
Slide 10 illustrates the advantages of growing our servicing portfolio organically via our own production, a key differentiator for PennyMac Financial. We can consistently source loans through different channels, depending on the market environment, and our servicing portfolio growth has been more consistent than others that grew primarily through bulk acquisitions.
Loan-by-loan processing gives us the ability to perform diligence and compliance reviews for all of the loans we produce and ultimately service, leading to increased fraud detection and minimal defect rates versus bulk MSR purchases. This is evidenced by the strong historical performance of our MSR assets with lower delinquencies, especially in recently originated loan vintages relative to the broader industry, which validates the efficacy of our prudent credit strategy.
As I briefly discussed, our large and growing servicing portfolio is a key asset, anchoring our core operational results in this higher interest rate environment and driving low-cost leads to our Consumer Direct division.
On slide 11, you can see the strong revenue contributions from our servicing portfolio in recent periods, with growth driven by our portfolio expansion and the higher proportion of owned servicing in recent periods as well as increased placement fees due to elevated short-term interest rates. Throughout our history, we have been focused on deploying new and emerging technologies to drive efficiencies and lower costs as evidenced by the chart on the right, which highlights the continued decline in our per loan servicing expenses in 2019.
We continue to demonstrate the ability of our servicing workflows and technology to scale efficiently with our growth while also providing our servicing associates with the tools they need to best serve our customers. Given our best-in-class proprietary technologies with advanced capabilities and our unmatched excellence in servicing, we are committed to expanding our subservicing business beyond P&T, and we deliver a compelling value proposition to MSR owners.
This includes superior capabilities for both performing and nonperforming loans powered by our proprietary technology and extensive customer self-service capabilities. And MSR owners that utilize PennyMac as a sub-servicer can leverage our robust marketing and recapture tools to generate leads and best support their origination efforts.
On slide 12, you can see we've signed our first three clients with one already onboarded, and we are actively engaged with 20 additional prospects that represent approximately $65 billion in UPB. Beyond that, we estimate our correspondent sellers collectively own approximately $465 billion in unpaid principal balance of services and that the total addressable market for subservicing is approximately $4 trillion.
Given consideration to changing market dynamics, we expect further market penetration aiming to capture a broader share of MSR owners who are seeking a best-in-class, low-cost sub-servicer. This strategic focus on subservicing is a testament to our commitment to diversifying our revenue streams while maximizing the value of our servicing platform. It is for all of these reasons that I am confident in our ability to continue driving strong financial performance in this volatile environment no matter the direction of interest rates.
I will now turn it over to Dan, who will review the drivers of PFSI's first quarter financial performance.