Should You Be Tempted To Sell GuocoLand Limited (SGX:F17) Because Of Its P/E Ratio?

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The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll apply a basic P/E ratio analysis to GuocoLand Limited's (SGX:F17), to help you decide if the stock is worth further research. What is GuocoLand's P/E ratio? Well, based on the last twelve months it is 9.2. In other words, at today's prices, investors are paying SGD9.2 for every SGD1 in prior year profit.

View our latest analysis for GuocoLand

How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for GuocoLand:

P/E of 9.2 = SGD1.96 ÷ SGD0.21 (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

The higher the P/E ratio, the higher the price tag of a business, relative to its trailing earnings. That is not a good or a bad thing per se, but a high P/E does imply buyers are optimistic about the future.

Does GuocoLand Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

The P/E ratio indicates whether the market has higher or lower expectations of a company. As you can see below GuocoLand has a P/E ratio that is fairly close for the average for the real estate industry, which is 8.7.

SGX:F17 Price Estimation Relative to Market, August 29th 2019
SGX:F17 Price Estimation Relative to Market, August 29th 2019

That indicates that the market expects GuocoLand will perform roughly in line with other companies in its industry. If the company has better than average prospects, then the market might be underestimating it. Further research into factors such as insider buying and selling, could help you form your own view on whether that is likely.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

When earnings fall, the 'E' decreases, over time. That means unless the share price falls, the P/E will increase in a few years. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.

GuocoLand's earnings per share fell by 37% in the last twelve months. And it has shrunk its earnings per share by 4.3% per year over the last five years. This could justify a pessimistic P/E.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.