In This Article:
While Neogen Corporation (NASDAQ:NEOG) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. As a well-established company, which tends to be well-covered by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Neogen’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
View our latest analysis for Neogen
Is Neogen Still Cheap?
Neogen appears to be overvalued by 30% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$23.09 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $17.78. This means that the opportunity to buy Neogen at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Neogen’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
Can we expect growth from Neogen?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 23% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Neogen. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? NEOG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe NEOG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on NEOG for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for NEOG, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.