What Trump's tariffs could mean for UK mortgage rates

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Mortgage rates came down this week, providing much-needed relief for homeowners, with some big lenders like Santander (BNC.L) cutting rates. However, Donald Trump’s trade war could deliver a blow to mortgage holders as uncertainty takes hold.

The average rate for a two-year fixed mortgage stands at 5.02%, while five-year fixed deals average 5.09%, according to data from Uswitch.

The Bank of England held its interest rate at 4.5% last month after warning that global economic uncertainty has "intensified".

This is the lowest level for rates in more than 18 months, following a reduction from 4.75% in February — the third such cut since August 2024.

However, a word of caution has been issued for Britons, as the tariffs imposed by Trump could create further challenges.

Jason Hollands, managing director at wealth management firm Evelyn Partners, said: “As interest rates could potentially go either way as a result of this tariff bombshell, the knock-on effect on the rates that banks pay on savings and charge on mortgages is also very uncertain.

Read more: Will Trump's tariffs change Bank of England's interest rate plan?

"While savings rates might be more tied to the BoE’s benchmark rate, mortgage rates also tend to be influenced by bond yields. Global economic uncertainty can cause bond market volatility, so that’s an added variable that could swing mortgage rates.

"But the key outcome here is whether central banks — the Fed, the BoE and the ECB — react to any inflationary effects by hiking rates, or whether they overlook short-term and possibly one-off price rises to look at the real economy and potentially even cut rates more than is currently expected.”

Hargreaves Lansdown said there could be a risk that inflation means the Bank of England keeps the base rate higher for longer.

However, it also said that the Bank could be under pressure to make more cuts to support growth.

The uncertainty could make it more vital for people to shop around for a mortgage deal early.

The primary inflation measure, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), stood at 2.8% in the 12 months to February 2025, a slight decrease from the previous month. While this marks a significant drop from the peak of 11.1% seen in October 2022, it remains well above the Bank of England’s target of 2%.

This week, Santander has announced mortgage rate reductions across its new business.

Principality Building Society is also reducing mortgage rates, effective from 4 April. It will lower three-year fixed residential mortgage rates between 65% and 80% loan-to-value (LTV) by up to 0.05%. In addition, five-year fixed rates at 90% LTV will see reductions of as much as 0.12%, while five-year fixes at 95% LTV will be lowered by 0.3%. For residential mortgages with cashback, a five-year fix at 90% LTV will be reduced by 0.14%.