At €11.62, Is Atria Oyj (HEL:ATRAV) A Buy?

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Atria Oyj (HLSE:ATRAV), a food company based in Finland, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the HLSE, rising to the highs of €13.32 and falling to the lows of €11.56. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Atria Oyj’s current trading price of €11.62 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Atria Oyj’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Atria Oyj

What is Atria Oyj worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 17.63% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Atria Oyj today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is €14.11, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. In addition to this, it seems like Atria Oyj’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Atria Oyj look like?

HLSE:ATRAV Future Profit May 16th 18
HLSE:ATRAV Future Profit May 16th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Atria Oyj’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 41.13%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ATRAV’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ATRAV, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.