Affinity Bancshares' (NASDAQ:AFBI) earnings growth rate lags the 22% CAGR delivered to shareholders

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It hasn't been the best quarter for Affinity Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFBI) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 20% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. It's fair to say most would be happy with 146% the gain in that time. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

See our latest analysis for Affinity Bancshares

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Affinity Bancshares managed to grow its earnings per share at 78% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 20% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqCM:AFBI Earnings Per Share Growth March 15th 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Affinity Bancshares' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Affinity Bancshares, it has a TSR of 166% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Affinity Bancshares shareholders have received returns of 12% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 22% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes Affinity Bancshares a stock worth watching. Before spending more time on Affinity Bancshares it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.