AMD's $6B Buyback And $10B AI Deal: A $16B Gambit to Catch Nvidia

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Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) is making moves. Recently, the chipmaker announced a fresh $6 billion stock buyback, pushing its total repurchase firepower to $10 billion. The goal? Shrink share count, boost EPS, and restore investor confidence. AMD's latest $10 billion AI collaboration with Humain is a bold swing, but questions linger on how quickly that bet can pay off.

CEO Lisa Su says the repurchase signals strong belief in AMD's strategic direction and long-term cash flow. But Q1 free cash flow was down over 33%to $727 millionand cash on hand now trails current liabilities. That doesn't leave a huge margin for error. Add to that fierce competition from Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) AI dominance and a wave of custom chipmakers, and AMD's runway feels tight. Still, reducing the share count could help shore up EPSespecially if future earnings stabilize or rebound.

The bigger picture? The long-term chart shows AMD's EPS without non-recurring items steadily trending up. Despite stock price swings, earnings performance has been resilient.

AMD's $6B Buyback And $10B AI Deal: A $16B Gambit to Catch Nvidia
AMD's $6B Buyback And $10B AI Deal: A $16B Gambit to Catch Nvidia

If buybacks kick in and AI execution improves, the stock could catch up to the fundamentals. But make no mistakethis is now a show-me story.

This article first appeared on GuruFocus.