Amgen Stock Up This Year So Far: Will the Rally Continue?

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Amgen, Inc.’s AMGN stock is up 13.5% this year so far against 6.6% decrease of its industry.

Its strong quarterly results and positive pipeline and regulatory updates have all contributed to the upside.

Strong Quarterly Results

Amgen performed well in the first two quarters of 2018, beating estimates on both occasions. In the first half of 2018, earnings per share increased 14% year over year driven by higher product sales, a lower tax rate and lower share count. Total revenues increased 3% in the first half as increasing demand for newer products like Prolia, Kyprolis, Xgeva, Repatha and Blincyto was partially offset by lower sales of mature brands like Enbrel, Aranesp, Epogen, Neulasta and Neupogen due to competitive pressure.

On the second-quarter conference call, the biotech giant raised its sales and earnings guidance for 2018. Better-than-expected second-quarter results and an optimistic outlook for the rest of the year led to the increase in the earnings guidance.

Pipeline & Regulatory Successes

In the first half, Amgen made rapid progress with its pipeline and line extensions.

Aimovig/erenumab for prevention of migraine was approved and launched in the United States in second quarter of 2018. Aimovig is the first FDA-approved treatment, specifically developed to treat migraine by blocking calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP). Aimovig was approved in the EU in July. Amgen has developed Aimovig in partnership with Novartis NVS.

Amgen also gained approval for several line extensions this year. In the first half of 2018, Xgeva was approved in both the United States and EU for the prevention of skeletal-related events in patients with multiple myeloma; Prolia was approved for a new indication, glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis, in both the United States and EU, and Blincyto was approved in the United States for a new indication, minimal residual disease (MRD)-positive B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (“ALL”).

The line extensions can expand the eligible patient populations of these drugs and drive their sales higher in future quarters. Also, in 2017/early 2018, Amgen gained regulatory approvals to include overall survival data from key studies in the labels for Kyprolis and Blincyto, which can drive sales of these products.

Amgen has also delivered on its biosimilars pipeline this year, which represents significant growth opportunity. Amgen has a collaboration agreement with Allergan AGN for the worldwide development and commercialization of four oncology antibody biosimilars. Amgen/Allergan’s biosimilar version of Roche’s RHHBY Avastin, Mvasi, was approved in the United States in September 2017 and in the EU in January this year. Meanwhile, the biosimilar versionof Roche’s another cancer drug Herceptin, Kanjinti was launched in the EU last month while it is under review in the United States. A biosimilar of Rituxan (ABP 798) is in phase III development.