Analysts Increase Forecasts on Domino's Despite Revenue Miss. Should You Consider This Buffett Stock for Your Portfolio?

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Key Points

  • Late last year, it was revealed that the famous investor had bought the stock.

  • Since then, the giant pizza chain has outpaced the benchmark S&P 500 index.

  • But the pace of sales growth from here could become more challenging.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Domino's Pizza ›

Domino's Pizza (NASDAQ: DPZ) stock is one of the more recent additions to the equity portfolio of star investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. In recent days, it's also become one of the more buzzworthy titles.

This isn't all that surprising, considering the storied pizza to-go specialist crushed profitability estimates in its recently reported first quarter. It also earned a clutch of analyst price target raises along the way.

Let's take a look at that quarter, and see whether the attention the stock is getting makes it worthy of a buy.

Boosted by the accounting

The main takeaway from the takeout artist is that convincing bottom-line beat, so let's unpack it. First, a brief overview -- for the quarter, Domino's total sales ticked up by nearly 3% year over year to just over $1.11 billion. That was just under the average analyst projection of $1.13 billion.

Several hands grabbing slices of pizza from a tray.
Image source: Getty Images.

The dynamic was very different where profitability is concerned, though, and this is where it gets interesting. Net income according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) standards surged nearly 19% higher to hit almost $150 million, or $4.33 per share. That latter number was far above the consensus pundit expectation of $4.00.

Why the stark difference in top- and bottom-line growth rates? In both the earnings release and the conference call discussing the results, the company and its executives intimated that market share gains were a difference maker.

I'm not convinced they had such an impact, as Domino's wrote in its 2024 annual report that it gained under 1 percentage point of share in the U.S. that year. According to the company's data, its percentage of total dollar spend on quick service restaurants (QSRs) doing pizza was roughly 40%, and that for delivery stood at around 60%.

It seems that another factor was mainly at work. A glance at that ever-nondescript "other income (expenses)" line on the income statement shows quite a change; in the first quarter of this year, that figure was a positive $24 million and change, where in the same period of 2024, it was in the red at nearly $19 million.

A bit of digging reveals this is an adjustment in the value of its strategic investment in DPC Dash, a company traded on the Hong Kong exchange. It is the exclusive Domino's "master franchisee" in mainland China, and the Chinese enclaves of Hong Kong and Macao (nice work if you can get it, eh?).