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It hasn't been the best quarter for Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AIT) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 16% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been spectacular. In that time, the share price has soared some 374% higher! So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. Of course what matters most is whether the business can improve itself sustainably, thus justifying a higher price.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 7.1%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Applied Industrial Technologies. Read for free now.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over half a decade, Applied Industrial Technologies managed to grow its earnings per share at 24% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 37% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Applied Industrial Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Applied Industrial Technologies' TSR for the last 5 years was 404%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Applied Industrial Technologies has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 38% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Applied Industrial Technologies better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Applied Industrial Technologies you should be aware of.