With its stock down 7.8% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Auckland International Airport (NZSE:AIA). We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Auckland International Airport's ROE in this article.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Auckland International Airport is:
0.7% = NZ$74m ÷ NZ$10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each NZ$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made NZ$0.01 in profit.
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
Auckland International Airport's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE
It is quite clear that Auckland International Airport's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 4.8%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Auckland International Airport's five year net income decline of 34% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 1.5% over the last few years, we found that Auckland International Airport's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.
NZSE:AIA Past Earnings Growth March 20th 2025
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Auckland International Airport fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Auckland International Airport Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Auckland International Airport's high three-year median payout ratio of 254% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend beyond their means is usually not viable over the long term.
Moreover, Auckland International Airport has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 73% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Auckland International Airport's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 3.8%, over the same period.
Conclusion
In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Auckland International Airport. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this freereport on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
