Bank stocks have been big gainers since Trump’s electoral victory on hopes of higher interest rates and lighter regulations under the new administration. On Friday, bank stocks surged after president Trump ordered a review of Dodd Frank regulations.
Goldman Sachs (GS) is seen as a big winner from the roll back of these regulations and in general a lighter regulatory environment promised by Trump. These Dodd Frank rules and other regulations imposed in the aftermath of the financial crisis no doubt improved the health of the banking system but their costs were too high.
About the Company
Founded in 1869, Goldman Sachs Group, is a leading global investment banking, securities and investment management firm. The company is headquartered in New York, with offices in all major financial centers around the world.
Excellent Results
They reported last month, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimates on the top the bottom lines. Results were boosted by a surge in trading volumes and cost cutting.
Adjusted earnings of $5.08 per share were significantly ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.76 and revenues of $8.2 billion also beat the expectation of of $7.4 billion.
“After a challenging first half, the firm performed well for the remainder of the year as the operating
environment improved,” said the CEO.
Rising Estimates
After better than expected results, analysts have raised estimates for the company. Zacks Consensus Estimates for the current and the next year have surged to $19.60 per share and $22.32 per share from $18.74 and $21.02 respectively, before the results.
If you look at the Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise chart, they have missed only once in the last five years.
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise | Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) Quote
Returning Capital to Shareholders
During 2016, the bank repurchased $6.1 worth of stock and paid out approximately $1.1 billion dollars of dividends. Per WSJ, six biggest US banks, including Goldman, could return more than $100 billion in capital to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks over time if some of the regulations are rolled back.
The Bottom Line
In general, US banks have come a long way since the financial crisis, their balance sheets are much stronger and they have improved their risk management systems. They are very well capitalized and meet Basel III standards. In fact, many hold capital in excess of regulatory requirements.
Goldman shares have touched their record highs not seen since the financial crisis. But you look at the valuation, they don’t look too expensive, trading at a forward P/E multiple of 12.3.