Should You Buy Stocks After 3 Straight Months of Market Declines? History Offers a Clear Answer

In This Article:

Key Points

  • The S&P 500 is up by more than 150% since the 2020 market crash.

  • Warren Buffett calls bear markets an investor's best friend.

  • Adding to your investments consistently and regularly is a reliable strategy for generating strong long-term gains.

Heading into 2025, it looked like this was going to be another year of strong gains for the market, but that has changed since President Donald Trump first announced heavy tariffs on major U.S. trading partners, and then made his "Liberation Day" announcements that imposed further taxes on imports from almost everywhere. Although it has been making a slow and steady recovery from its recent lows, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is still down more than 4% year to date, and more than 8% from its peak.

Investors may be concerned about investing now for a whole bunch of reasons, like tying up their money in a dropping market or the near-term potential for stock gains when tariffs could seriously eat into corporate earnings.

There's no way to know how long this period of volatility will last. But as with the market having just exited its third month of declines in a row, history offers a clear answer to the question of whether to invest right now.

A person with their head in their hands stares at a laptop screen.
Image Source: Getty Images.

This is part of the market cycle

Financial data company Morningstar compiled data on the market's movements during the past 150 years and found that there have been 19 market crashes during that period. These crashes varied widely in length and severity, with the longest being the Great Depression, when the market lost 79% of its value in a downturn that lasted for seven years. By contrast, in early 2020, the market dropped by 20%, but the slump only lasted for a few months.

The commonality among all of those market plunges is what happened next: The market eventually rebounded and soared to new heights.

The time it takes for a recovery period to end -- as signaled by the market reaching a new high -- can be much longer than the time it takes for the crash phase itself to end. After the Great Depression, the market experienced several attempts at breaking through the previous high, only to fall back again rapidly. There were three "mini crashes" across a period that lasted until well after the end of World War II, when robust industrial activity led to the great economic boom of the 1950s, which means the market was in and out of bear markets for more than 20 years.

In the 2020 crash, it only took seven months to reach previous highs, and since the bottom of the 2020 crash, the S&P 500 has gained more than 150%.