Daily fantasy sports is at a crossroads heading into 2018

It has been a weird year in the daily fantasy sports (DFS) industry.

The two leading companies in the space, DraftKings and FanDuel, canceled their planned merger, eight months after announcing it, and after their lead executives spent many more months working together behind the scenes to pull it off. It was supposed to be a synergistic combination of two close competitors into one dominant platform.

Instead, as we head into 2018, DraftKings is, by most reports, the definitive leader in DFS by market share and has taken a step into streaming live sports. FanDuel CEO Nigel Eccles, credited with fueling the rise of DFS (FanDuel launched four years before DraftKings), has left the company.

Perhaps most important: On Dec. 4, the U.S. Supreme Court will at last hear the New Jersey sports betting case, Christie et al v. NCAA et al, which will determine whether New Jersey can allow sports betting despite the existing federal ban, PASPA (Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992).

If New Jersey wins, there would be an immediate domino effect of state-by-state efforts, and major implications for the pro sports leagues. (The NBA, for one, now says it will lobby Congress for a change to sports betting law after the case, regardless of the outcome.)

What the SCOTUS sports betting case means for DFS

While DFS isn’t specifically an issue in the New Jersey case per se, it is seen as a factor that has helped drive the general momentum toward repealing PASPA. Geoff Freeman, president of the American Gaming Association, told Yahoo Finance that DFS, “has been the most significant thing when it comes to raising attention to the demand consumers have to no longer be passive, but to be engaged in these games one way or another.”

DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said recently that the company would weigh its options if PASPA is repealed, a suggestion that it might become a regulated sportsbook despite years of insisting that its contests do not constitute betting.

And last year, DraftKings and FanDuel both applied for, and received, UK gambling licenses, and DraftKings opened an office in Malta, an influential country in issuing overseas gaming licenses. As a UK sports lawyer recently commented on the Yahoo Finance Sportsbook podcast, DFS, “looks like betting… We view it as probably betting.”

NFL declining, DraftKings and FanDuel revenue still small

Meanwhile, the NFL has had a down year, characterized by a 5.7% average decline in TV ratings and endless political controversy. That certainly isn’t good news for DraftKings and FanDuel, but on the bright side, it is actually NBA, not NFL, that is driving the growth in DFS contest entries, according to Eccles of FanDuel.