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Did You Miss Carborundum Universal's (NSE:CARBORUNIV) 51% Share Price Gain?

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Carborundum Universal Limited (NSE:CARBORUNIV) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last quarter. On the other hand the returns over the last half decade have not been bad. After all, the stock has performed better than the market (42%) in that time, and is up 51%. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 22% decline over the last twelve months.

View our latest analysis for Carborundum Universal

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Carborundum Universal managed to grow its earnings per share at 21% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 8.6% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:CARBORUNIV Past and Future Earnings, October 16th 2019
NSEI:CARBORUNIV Past and Future Earnings, October 16th 2019

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Carborundum Universal's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Carborundum Universal the TSR over the last 5 years was 56%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Carborundum Universal shareholders are down 21% for the year (even including dividends) , but the market itself is up 2.7%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9.4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.