Does K.M. Sugar Mills Limited (NSE:KMSUGAR) Have A Volatile Share Price?

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If you're interested in K.M. Sugar Mills Limited (NSE:KMSUGAR), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

View our latest analysis for K.M. Sugar Mills

What we can learn from KMSUGAR's beta value

Zooming in on K.M. Sugar Mills, we see it has a five year beta of 1.91. This is above 1, so historically its share price has been influenced by the broader volatility of the stock market. Based on this history, investors should be aware that K.M. Sugar Mills are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see K.M. Sugar Mills's revenue and earnings in the image below.

NSEI:KMSUGAR Income Statement, June 20th 2019
NSEI:KMSUGAR Income Statement, June 20th 2019

Could KMSUGAR's size cause it to be more volatile?

With a market capitalisation of ₹681m, K.M. Sugar Mills is a very small company by global standards. It is quite likely to be unknown to most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.