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First Community Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCBC) will pay a dividend of $0.29 on the 25th of August. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 3.4%.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that First Community Bankshares' stock price has increased by 44% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Check out our latest analysis for First Community Bankshares
First Community Bankshares' Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, First Community Bankshares has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but First Community Bankshares' payout ratio of 41% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 13.1% over the next year. But if the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the future payout ratio could be 59%, which would be comfortable for the company to continue in the future.
First Community Bankshares Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.44 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $1.16. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.
First Community Bankshares Could Grow Its Dividend
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that First Community Bankshares has grown earnings per share at 9.6% per year over the past five years. Since earnings per share is growing at an acceptable rate, and the payout policy is balanced, we think the company is positioning itself well to grow earnings and dividends in the future.
We should note that First Community Bankshares has issued stock equal to 15% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.