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Here's Why Tyranna Resources (ASX:TYX) Must Play Its Cards Just Right

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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Tyranna Resources (ASX:TYX) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Tyranna Resources

How Long Is Tyranna Resources's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In June 2019, Tyranna Resources had AU$507k in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$4.4m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from June 2019 it seems to us it had less than two months of cash runway. It's extremely surprising to us that the company has allowed its cash runway to get that short! You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

ASX:TYX Historical Debt, October 24th 2019
ASX:TYX Historical Debt, October 24th 2019

How Is Tyranna Resources's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Tyranna Resources doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just AU$4.6k in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 29%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Tyranna Resources due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Tyranna Resources Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Tyranna Resources shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.