Inchcape (LON:INCH) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.213

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The board of Inchcape plc (LON:INCH) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of £0.213 on the 19th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 3.8%.

See our latest analysis for Inchcape

Inchcape's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Inchcape's earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 55.3%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 31% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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LSE:INCH Historic Dividend April 5th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £0.11 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of £0.288. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

Inchcape May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's not great to see that Inchcape's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 2.8% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Our Thoughts On Inchcape's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Inchcape's payments are rock solid. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Inchcape that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.