Investors Who Bought Greenlam Industries (NSE:GRNLAMIND) Shares Three Years Ago Are Now Up 35%

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Thanks in no small measure to Vanguard founder Jack Bogle, it's easy buy a low cost index fund, which should provide the average market return. But you can make superior returns by picking better-than average stocks. For example, the Greenlam Industries Limited (NSE:GRNLAMIND) share price is up 35% in the last three years, slightly above the market return. In contrast, the stock is actually down 23% in the last year, suggesting a lack of positive momentum.

View our latest analysis for Greenlam Industries

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, Greenlam Industries achieved compound earnings per share growth of 27% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 10% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:GRNLAMIND Past and Future Earnings, June 9th 2019
NSEI:GRNLAMIND Past and Future Earnings, June 9th 2019

We know that Greenlam Industries has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Greenlam Industries will grow revenue in the future.

A Different Perspective

Greenlam Industries shareholders are down 23% for the year (even including dividends), but the broader market is up 1.3%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Investors are up over three years, booking 11% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. Before forming an opinion on Greenlam Industries you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

Of course Greenlam Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.