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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Kinder Morgan, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.064 = US$4.3b ÷ (US$72b - US$5.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Therefore, Kinder Morgan has an ROCE of 6.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 10.0%.
View our latest analysis for Kinder Morgan
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kinder Morgan compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kinder Morgan for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Kinder Morgan Tell Us?
Over the past five years, Kinder Morgan's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Kinder Morgan doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. That probably explains why Kinder Morgan has been paying out 83% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. Most shareholders probably know this and own the stock for its dividend.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Kinder Morgan has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 138% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Kinder Morgan (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.