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If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But OGE Energy Corp. (NYSE:OGE) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 51% over five years, which is below the market return. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 26% over the last year.
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in OGE Energy. Read for free now.
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the five years of share price growth, OGE Energy moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that OGE Energy has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, OGE Energy's TSR for the last 5 years was 90%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that OGE Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand OGE Energy better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for OGE Energy (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.