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J.Jill, Inc.'s (NYSE:JILL) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, J.Jill increased the number of shares on issue by 43% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of J.Jill's EPS by clicking here .
How Is Dilution Impacting J.Jill's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
J.Jill was losing money three years ago. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 9.3%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 3.3% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So J.Jill shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that J.Jill's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by US$9.3m in the last twelve months. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect J.Jill to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
Our Take On J.Jill's Profit Performance
To sum it all up, J.Jill took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that J.Jill's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, J.Jill has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.