Loblaw Companies Limited's (TSE:L) Stock Been Rising: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Sun, Mar 30, 2025, 6:07 AM 3 min read

Most readers would already know that Loblaw Companies' (TSE:L) stock increased by 4.9% over the past three months. Given its impressive performance, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Loblaw Companies' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Loblaw Companies is:

20% = CA$2.3b ÷ CA$11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CA$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CA$0.20 in profit.

View our latest analysis for Loblaw Companies

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Loblaw Companies' Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

At first glance, Loblaw Companies seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Loblaw Companies' moderate 16% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Loblaw Companies' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth — TSX:L Past Earnings Growth March 30th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Loblaw Companies''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Loblaw Companies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (implying that the company retains 74% of its profits), it seems that Loblaw Companies is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Moreover, Loblaw Companies is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 23% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Loblaw Companies' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 22% for future ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Loblaw Companies' performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.