Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. -- Moody's assigns (P)A2 rating to Mitsubishi Estate's shelf registration

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Rating Action: Moody's assigns (P)A2 rating to Mitsubishi Estate's shelf registration

Global Credit Research - 17 Aug 2020

Total shelf registration amount is JPY 400 billion

Tokyo, August 17, 2020 -- Moody's Japan K.K. has assigned a (P)A2 senior unsecured rating to the domestic senior unsecured shelf registration of Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. (MEC). The rating outlook is stable.

The specific shelf registration rated is:

** JPY 400 billion effective August 16, 2020

RATINGS RATIONALE

MEC's rating reflects the company's strong position in Japan's real estate market, as well as its portfolio of prime leasing assets. Both factors result in stable cash flow for the company. The rating also considers inherent risks in developing real estate, including cyclicality in real estate demand and interest.

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING

We would consider upgrading MEC's ratings if the company improves its profitability, driven by additional income from projects currently under redevelopment; maintains high occupancy rates and increases rents; and maintains lower leverage. Specific credit metrics that we would take into account for upgrading the ratings include net debt/EBITDA remaining below 7.0x and debt/gross assets below 35% on a sustained basis.

MEC's ratings would come under pressure if its earnings decline because of a cyclical deterioration in market conditions or higher interest rates; major projects experience delays and cost overruns; there is a secular decline in demand for office space in central Tokyo; there is volatility stemming from an increase in riskier activities, such as residential or international businesses; or there is sustained high leverage because of more aggressive financial policies. Specific credit metrics that could lead to a downgrade include net debt/EBITDA remaining above 9.0x and debt/gross assets above 45% on a sustained basis.

The principal methodology used in this rating was REITs and Other Commercial Real Estate Firms (Japanese) published in September 2018 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1097765. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd., headquartered in Tokyo, is a leading property developer in Japan.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.