Multnomah-ClackamasCosSD28Jt(Centennial), OR -- Moody's assigns A3 underlying/Aa1 enhanced to Centennial School District 28Jt, OR's 2020 GOULT; outlook negative

Rating Action: Moody's assigns A3 underlying/Aa1 enhanced to Centennial School District 28Jt, OR's 2020 GOULT; outlook negative

Global Credit Research - 18 Aug 2020

New York, August 18, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned an A3 underlying and Aa1 enhanced rating to Multnomah-Clackamas Counties School District 28Jt (Centennial), Oregon's General Obligation and Refunding Bonds, Series 2020 in the expected amount of $65.0 million. The enhanced rating is based on the Oregon School Bond Guaranty Program. Moody's maintains an A3 rating on the district's outstanding general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) and full faith and credit obligations in the amounts of $3.2 million and $10.9 million respectively. The outlook for the underlying rating is negative.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The A3 rating reflects the district's weak financial profile that is expected to remain weak in the near term and rely on some one-time budget enhancements to build fund balance in the future. Recent governance concerns relating to management turnover contributed to large negative budget to actual variances that the new management team expects to mitigate in future. The rating also reflects the district's elevated pension liability and the low debt burden. The district's large Portland metro area tax base is a stabilizing credit factor.

The Aa1 enhanced rating reflects the State of Oregon's (Aa1 stable) full faith, credit and taxing power which is pledged to guarantee qualified school districts' bond debt service when due. Key aspects of the program include third party notification of any unpaid debt service and favorable state oversight.

We regard the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under our ESG framework, given the substantial implications for public health and safety. The coronavirus crisis is not a key driver for this rating action. However, the district remains vulnerable to declines in state funding that might result from the economic downturn of the coronavirus pandemic. If our view of the credit quality of Centennial School District changes, we will update the rating and/or outlook at that time.

RATING OUTLOOK

The negative outlook for the underlying rating reflects expectations that the district's finances will remain weak, though reserves are expected to grow modestly on a nominal basis due to one-time revenue enhancements. Nevertheless, elevated and growing fixed costs - especially for pension contributions - will constrain the district's finances and leave it in a weak position relative to similarly rated peers.