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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x Nuix Limited (ASX:NXL) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Nuix
What Does Nuix's Recent Performance Look Like?
Nuix hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nuix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Nuix's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nuix would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 11% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 24%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Nuix's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Nuix's P/S
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Nuix maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.