The content of this article will benefit those of you who are starting to educate yourself about investing in the stock market and want to begin learning about how to value company based on its current earnings and what are the drawbacks of this method.
Polyfair Holdings Limited (HKG:8532) is trading with a trailing P/E of 15, which is higher than the industry average of 13.5. Although some investors may see this as unappealing, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before making judgments. In this article, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.
Check out our latest analysis for Polyfair Holdings
Demystifying the P/E ratio
A common ratio used for relative valuation is the P/E ratio. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.
P/E Calculation for 8532
Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share
8532 Price-Earnings Ratio = HK$0.11 ÷ HK$0.00718 = 15x
On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. Our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to 8532, such as company lifetime and products sold. A common peer group is companies that exist in the same industry, which is what I use. At 15, 8532’s P/E is higher than its industry peers (13.5). This implies that investors are overvaluing each dollar of 8532’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 25 Construction companies in HK including PYI, HPC Holdings and Hanison Construction Holdings. You could think of it like this: the market is pricing 8532 as if it is a stronger company than the average of its industry group.
Assumptions to watch out for
Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that there are assumptions in this analysis. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to 8532. If not, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if Polyfair Holdings Limited is growing faster than its peers, then it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. Of course, it is possible that the stocks we are comparing with 8532 are not fairly valued. Thus while we might conclude that it is richly valued relative to its peers, that could be explained by the peer group being undervalued.
What this means for you:
Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on 8532, the overvaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to reduce your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I’ve outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following: