Q1 2025 Natural Gas Services Group Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Anna Delgado; Executive & Investor Relations Assistant; Natural Gas Services Group Inc

Justin Jacobs; Chief Executive Officer, Director; Natural Gas Services Group Inc

Ian Eckert; Chief Financial Officer; Natural Gas Services Group Inc

Rob Brown; Analyst; Lake Street Capital Market

Jim Rollyson; Analyst; Raymond James

Tim Opler; Analyst; Stifel

Tate Sullivan; Analyst; Maxim Group

Presentation

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the Natural Gas Services Group Incorporated quarter one earnings call. (Operator Instructions)
I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Anna Delgado. Please begin.

Anna Delgado

Thank you, Luke. And good morning, everyone. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, the company will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of Federal security laws.
Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and those actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Finally, the company can give no assurance that such forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.
Natural Gas Services Group disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
These and other risks are described in yesterday's earnings press release in our filings with the SEC, including our Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2025. Annual report on Form 10-K for 2024 and our Form 8-Ks. These documents can be found in the investors section of our website, located at www.nsgi.com.
Should one or more of these risks materialize or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially. In addition, our discussion today will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted gross margin among others.
For reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP, please see yesterday's earnings release.
I will now turn the call over to Justin Jacobs, our Chief Executive Officer. Justin?

Justin Jacobs

Thank you, Anna. And good morning, everyone. I'd like to welcome all participants to our first quarter 2025 earnings call.
Let me first introduce the team. Joining me today, we have Ian Eckert, our Chief Financial Officer; and Brian Tucker, our President and Chief Operating Officer. I'd also like to extend special thanks to the entire NGS team for their dedication, passion, and unwavering commitment to servicing our customers.
After two-record years at NGS, we started off 2025 in great fashion. I continue to believe NGS has a very strong competitive position and will continue to deliver attractive growth in revenue and profits in the years ahead.
Market demand for compression remains strong, and our success in winning market share stems from a combination of our innovative technology, high-service levels driven by the strength of our people, and flexible balance sheet. While there has been a great deal of market volatility over the past couple of months, we have been fortunate that our business has not been materially impacted to date.
Our 2025-unit deliveries, all of which are under a long-term contract, remain on target. In addition to the already contracted unit deliveries in 2026, our discussions with customers remain focused on growth in the future.
We have and continue to allocate capital prudently, supported by our expanded credit facility and a balance sheet that affords flexibility even in these volatile markets. I'll give just a couple of highlights as it relates to first quarter financial performance.
Rental revenue hit a quarterly record of $38.9 million, a 15% increase versus the prior year quarter, and 2% sequentially. Adjusted rental gross margin of 61.9%, another banner -- quarter for margins. Adjusted EBITDA $19.3 million in the quarter, once again, a record number.
We finished the quarter at 2.18 times leverage, providing significant margin of safety against any currently unforeseen softening of results, while also providing significant offensive firepower to maintain organic growth and add inorganic growth to the mix. As a final note in the quarter, we exceeded our internal expectations, which I will discuss further in forward guidance.
Turning to the overall market conditions, there is obviously a lot going on in macroeconomic factors in commodity markets. Since our last call, we've seen WTI in the 50s, in the 70s, and everywhere in between, and our last call was less than 2 months ago.
We've used this volatility to look at the business in multiple cases, an upside, a downside, and stable. So that in each case, we can mount an offensive game plan. We remain confident in our ability to perform regardless of the volatility or price level that we see.
Looking at the public pronouncements of customers to date, we see modest CapEx reductions that are not hitting us. These public statements are consistent with our discussion with customers that show a locked in 2025 and growth in 2026. Obviously, we are keeping a very keen eye on this area.
Natural gas prices are currently hovering in the mid-3s after peaking above 4, with a broad range of 2026 forecasts, some stable with current levels, with others well into the 4s and beyond.
LNG export growth and new pipeline projects could create upside for our small and medium fleet and present an entry point into midstream large horsepower compression, a potential tailwind not yet reflected in our models.
While tariffs remain a source of volatility, the direct impact on NGS is minimal, given our supply chain consists of mostly domestic vendors, and major imported components are largely exempt. That said, the indirect effects are harder to predict, so we will continue to monitor the market and get and engage with our customers and suppliers to better assess any indirect risks and plan, accordingly.
As it stands now, our business and customer installations remain on track for what is shaping up to be a strong 2025 and 2026.
I'd like to now shift to our strategy and provide some updates as it relates to our growth and value drivers. I'm going to focus on three of them today: asset utilization, fleet expansion, and M&A.
I'll start with asset utilization, which is comprised of converting non-cash assets into the cash and increasing the utilization of our existing fleet. Our days receivable improved from 118 days a year ago to 35 days at the end of Q4 '24 and stayed at 35 days at the end of Q1 '25. This has been great progress which we are now maintaining.
Additionally, we made significant progress on monetizing the $11 million income tax receivable. It was recently submitted to the Joint Committee on Taxation in the US House of Representatives for final approval. This is the last approval required, and typically this takes less than 12 months. We look forward to reporting the collection of this amount, nearly $1 per share in cash in the near future.
We have significant owned real estate, which we are looking to monetize in the near term. Currently, we're focusing on the two largest assets, our corporate headquarters in Midland and our recently closed fabrication shop in Midland. We also have opportunities to produce inventory further.
As I've stated previously, the combination of the income tax receivable, owned real estate and inventory creates an opportunity at least as large as the approximately $25 million we monetized in accounts receivable in 2024.
Lastly, I'll add that in terms of horsepower utilization, the vast preponderance of idle horsepower is in small and medium units. We're continuing to review options for technology upgrades, electric conversions, and monetization.
Although still early, I'm starting to see some green shoots in this area. Certainly strengthening natural gas prices and increased volumes are helping, but I think the technological innovation and service levels we are providing are starting to make a difference.
As I've mentioned previously, this was never going to get fixed in a couple of quarters. This will take time, and while I don't have enough data points to have a trend, I'm cautiously optimistic of some anecdotes.
The third driver, fleet expansion. We have previously disclosed signed contracts and unit deliveries scheduled to add roughly 90,000 horsepower, most of which in 2025, with another significant number of signed contracts for unit deliveries in 2026.
These commitments are all focused on large horsepower, including a material increase in electric motor drives. The majority of these fleet editions are allocated to a key customer that will ultimately become our second largest with well over 10% of our total revenue, once units are set.
As you will note in the first quarter 10-Q, our largest customer was 46% of revenue in the quarter, down from 54% fiscal 2024. This decrease in concentration is due to growth in our other customers, not with any loss with Oxy as we continue to grow that relationship as well.
Customer diversification has and continues to be a focus. We are growing both the number of key accounts and the volume of business we are doing with them.
The fourth and final driver M&A. We may -- we remain focused on continuing to drive significant organic growth while at the same time, continuing to explore the M&A markets. We remain well positioned both operationally and financially should strategic and a creative acquisition opportunity emerge.
Given the current state of the markets, we believe consolidation will continue this year and more attractive assets may be in play. Our strong balance sheet and leverage position, coupled with a volatile commodity backdrop makes us a natural consolidator where evaluations are attractive.
In April of this year, we amended and expanded our revolving facility from $300 million to $400 million with an accordion in future raised from $50 million to $100 million. The amended facility has lower pricing and a more combating leverage covenant as well. This is a significant win that supports our industry leading organic growth and provides optionality for M&A.
We appreciate the continued confidence of our banking group and welcome our new lending partners. We look forward to delivering for them and for our shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ian to review first quarter performance in more detail.