Q3 2025 Kennametal Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Michael Pici; Vice President - Investor Relations; Kennametal Inc

Sanjay Chowbey; President, Chief Executive Officer, Director; Kennametal Inc

Patrick Watson; Chief Financial Officer, Vice President - Finance; Kennametal Inc

Angel Castillo; Analyst; Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Steven Fisher; Analyst; UBS Securities LLC

Steve Barger; Analyst; KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Julian Mitchell; Analyst; Barclays Capital, Inc.

Michael Feniger; Analyst; BofA Securities Inc.

Tami Zakaria; Analyst; JPMorgan Securities LLC

Joe Ritchie; Analyst; Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Presentation

Operator

Good morning. I would like to welcome everyone to Kennametals' third quarter and fiscal 2025 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Please note, this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Michael Pici, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Michael Pici

Thank you, operator. Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining us to review Kennametals' third-quarter fiscal 2025 results. This morning, we issued our press release and posted our presentation slides on our website. We will be referring to that slide deck throughout today's call. I'm Michael Pici, Vice President of Investor Relations. Joining me on the call today are Sanjay Chowbey, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Pat Watson, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
After Sanjay and Pat's prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions. At this time, I would like to direct your attention to our forward-looking disclosure statement. Today's discussion contains comments that constitute forward-looking statements and, as such, involve a number of assumptions, risks, and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such statements.
These risk factors and uncertainties are detailed in Kennametal's SEC filings. In addition, we will be discussing non-GAAP financial measures on the call today. Reconciliations to GAAP financial measures that we believe are most directly comparable can be found at the back of the slide deck and on our Form 8-K on our website.
And with that, I'll turn the call over to you, Sanjay.

Sanjay Chowbey

Thank you, Mike. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. I'll start the call today with some general comments on how we are advancing our key initiatives, and then provide a review of the quarter and market conditions, followed by some key customer wins, and finally, an overview on the current tariff situation. Then Pat will cover the quarterly financial results, as well as the fiscal '25 outlook. Lastly, I'll make some summary comments and then open the call for questions.
Beginning on slide 3. So let me start by saying that I am pleased by how the team executed this quarter and focused on advancing our key initiatives. At the beginning of the third quarter, we announced a new restructuring action to lower structural costs by reducing employment costs and consolidating manufacturing operations. To that end, in mid-April, we successfully seized operations in our Greenfield, Massachusetts plant.
Commercially, we continue to execute on our share capture initiatives across various end markets, despite overall market weakness. While we have recently seen a few positive macro data points on industrial production in the US, most of our markets have been modestly declining for over 30 months now.
And while external factors are outside of our control, we remain focused on what we can control. The team continues to execute on our growth initiatives, including in Aerospace and Defense. And we believe our performance is broadly in line, if not better than the competition. A bit later in the call, I'll cover some of our more notable commercial success stories for the quarter.
Now let's walk through the summary of quarterly results. Sales decreased 6% year over year, with Metal Cutting sales declining 4% organically and Infrastructure declining 2% organically. We saw broad yet modest weakness across our three regions, with EMEA as expected remaining the slowest market, down 4% on a constant currency basis. Overall sales were slightly below the midpoint of our outlook and below our normal sequential second-quarter to third-quarter sales improvement.
Adjusted EPS was above our expectations, fueled mainly from an advanced manufacturing tax credit, which Pat will discuss in more detail. We also achieved approximately $6 million of restructuring savings in the quarter. We are on pace to achieve the $15 million run rate savings we committed to in January. Looking ahead, we tightened our sales outlook and raised the EPS outlook to reflect favorable third-quarter performance. Pat will provide more details on the outlook in his prepared remarks.
From an end market perspective, sales declined across all end markets except Aerospace and Defense, which increased 7%, propelled by defense project winds in Infrastructure. Transportation and General Engineering were largely impacted by market conditions in EMEA and the Americas, primarily within the Metal Cutting segment. Earthworks within the Infrastructure segment was impacted by lower mining activity in the Americas and Asia Pacific.
While we are seeing short-term pressures across our end markets, we remain confident in the long-term megatrends for industrial production. We expect to see positive trends from a growing middle class impacting General Engineering and medical applications. We also expect increasing long-term demand for Energy, including power generation for data centers, opportunities for growth in hybrid vehicle applications, and a strong order book for Aerospace and Defense customers.
Turning to profitability, adjusted EPS increased to $0.47 compared to $0.30 in the prior-year quarter. While volume were lower than the prior-year period, restructuring benefits, the absence of price raw headwinds, which occurred in the prior year, and the advanced manufacturing tax credit helped to increase profitability. As part of our capital allocation strategy, We continued our share repurchase program with $25 million of shares bought back during the quarter, and we paid $15 million in dividends.
In the quarter, we also saw the uncertainty surrounding tariffs take center stage globally. While the economic impact of recent trade policies remain fluid, I will provide some insight on potential impact and mitigation actions in a few moments. Finally, let me say that we remain committed to executing on our value creation pillars to deliver above-market growth, continuous improvement to drive margin improvement, and optimization across our product and business portfolios. We have more work to do in all these areas, and I look forward to updating you on our progress as appropriate.
Now turning to slide 4, I want to take a moment to provide commentary on our end markets for the full year. As I stated earlier, we have tightened our fiscal '25 full-year sales outlook to reflect the latest forecasts of specific market drivers and general market conditions. By end market, the top section shows the assumptions we had in our prior outlook compared to the assumptions in our current outlook.
The bottom section of the slide show some of the key contributing factors by end market. First, General Engineering. The key factors that drive our expectations are external IPI forecasts for the US and EMEA regions and PMI data in China. As I noted earlier, market conditions in EMEA have been challenging this fiscal year. External forecasts for IPI in EMEA also remained down for the first half of calendar year 2025.
The US IPI forecast is expected to be flat in the first half of calendar year '25, and China PMI remains unchanged as well. Taken together at the midpoint, we anticipate General Engineering to remain down slightly year over year, as previously communicated. Second is Transportation. The key external indicator we track here is IHS light vehicle production.
The most recent IHS estimate projects production to be down 1%, which is consistent with the previous estimate. Once again, the pressure is primarily in EMEA, with a slight slowdown in the Americas. It has been well documented the pressure OEMs in EMEA are facing. Given these production forecasts and customer challenges, we continue to expect the end market to be down year over year.
Third, our expectations for Energy and Earthworks remain consistent with previous expectations. US land-based rig counts are forecasted to decline, and sentiment among our customers remain cautious as the price of oil has fallen. We expect to see normal seasonality in the construction market within Earthworks, while mining activity continues to decline in China and we expect lower US coal exports.
Finally, expectations for Aerospace and Defense are unchanged, with a slight increase year-over-year as the aerospace industry steadily recovers from supply chain and OEM production issues. In conversations with our customers and channel partners, there is a lot of discussion on the uncertainties surrounding tariffs. With that, turning to slide 5, I want to take some time to provide commentary on tariffs and how we are planning to mitigate the direct impact. Let me start by saying that it is our intention to fully mitigate the cost implications of tariffs. Near term, we expect headwinds as we implement the mitigation actions.
This slide provides a summary of how tariffs are projected to impact Canada globally and the actions underway to fully mitigate them. As you can see, we have bilateral trade globally. The estimated annual impact of the additional costs associated with the tariffs that were in effect as of April 30th is approximately $80 million.
From a mitigation standpoint, our actions include, first, utilizing our global footprint to optimize product flow; second, evaluating alternative supply options and opportunities to minimize the impact of shipments between regions; third, rebalancing production capacity. Finally, while we are taking actions to minimize impact on our customers, we are implementing tariff surcharges as appropriate. We are also seeing the opportunities across both our segments to capture market share, including power sales, utilizing our US footprint.
Collectively, through all the actions I've just outlined, we are committed to fully mitigating the impact of tariffs and pursuing new potential growth opportunities. That said, the tariff landscape remains extremely fluid, and we continue to monitor the situation and will adapt and evolve our plans accordingly. Turning to slide 6, I want to touch on some customer wins that demonstrate our continued focus on advancing our growth initiatives across both segments.
Let's start with Metal Cutting. First, we secured an initial order with an OEM within the Aerospace and Defense end market. Our tooling helped reduce manufacturing cycle time while meeting challenging specifications. Next, within the General Engineering end market, we captured an order to provide indexable drills to an industrial pump manufacturer. Our solution exceeded the customer's expectations for lead time and performance. Within Transportation, we provided a customized and differentiated solution to a manufacturer of high-speed railway switches.
Now moving to our Infrastructure segment, in the Energy end market, our conformer-clad corrosion resistance solutions improve the production process for our customer in the battery industry. Within Earthworks, we developed a custom solution for a trenching and mining equipment customer to meet their demanding needs. As you can see, we provide innovative and effective solutions to a very diverse set of applications for customers around the world.
Now let me turn the call over to Pat, who will review the third-quarter financial performance and the outlook.