A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At China Health Group Inc.'s (HKG:8225) P/E Ratio

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China Health Group (HKG:8225) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 42%, after some slippage. But shareholders may not all be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down 36% in the last year.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So some would prefer to hold off buying when there is a lot of optimism towards a stock. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

View our latest analysis for China Health Group

How Does China Health Group's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 4.60 that sentiment around China Health Group isn't particularly high. The image below shows that China Health Group has a lower P/E than the average (49.4) P/E for companies in the life sciences industry.

SEHK:8225 Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 14th 2019
SEHK:8225 Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 14th 2019

This suggests that market participants think China Health Group will underperform other companies in its industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

China Health Group's earnings per share fell by 33% in the last twelve months.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

China Health Group's Balance Sheet

Since China Health Group holds net cash of CN¥459k, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.