Can Roku Survive an Incursion by Amazon?

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While Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) already is one of the leaders in streaming video -- second only to Netflix -- the e-commerce leader isn't content to stop there. Reports have emerged that the company has plans to launch a free, ad-supported video platform supported by its Fire TV devices.

News that it might compete in the same space as Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU) drove fear into the hearts of some investors concerned about the dreaded "Amazon Effect," and Roku's stock fell 5% in the wake of the reports. The company has carved out a successful niche for itself in the ad-supported streaming market, so if Amazon becomes a player in the space, how much of a threat is it to Roku?

The Roku Channel shown on a laptop, showing various programming choices.
The Roku Channel shown on a laptop, showing various programming choices.

Image source: Roku.

Another crack at streaming

Amazon is planning to launch a new service, reportedly called Free Drive, and is currently in talks with a number of studios to license older content for the platform, according to a report in The Information (subscription required). Amazon will launch the service via its IMDb subsidiary, which currently displays ad-supported shows. The report notes that the company already hosts advertising on its video-game streaming platform Twitch, as well as on NFL games shown on Amazon's Prime Video.

Fire TV is a streaming media player that connects with high-definition televisions and allows users to stream movies, television shows, and music from major providers like Netflix, Hulu, HBO, Spotify, and Amazon Prime Video -- as well as hundreds of individual channels and services. Fire TV comes in a variety of form factors and competes with devices like Apple TV, Chromecast, and Roku.

This combination of devices and platforms would put the company in direct competition with the streaming services provided by Roku and give Amazon another way to leverage the 48 million users of its Fire TV devices.

Will Roku suffer the "Amazon Effect?"

Not everyone believes the threat to Roku is particularly grave. Analyst Jeff Johnston of Arthur Wood believes investors may be overreacting, citing Roku's competitive advantages. He said:

We see minimal risk in the near-term for Roku. We believe Roku's agnostic approach to vMVPDs and their best-in-class user experience will continue to fuel subscriber and advertising growth for the next several years. The fact that Roku is agnostic cannot be overstated.

Virtual Multichannel Video Programming Distributors (or vMVPDs) aggregate content from on-demand and linear television and deliver that programming over the internet. Roku acts as a conduit for a variety of these providers, including Sling, Hulu, and DirecTV. This agnostic approach may help insulate the company from some of the risks posed by Amazon.