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U.S. stocks were firmly higher Friday but down for the week as traders assessed monthly employment figures that did little to thwart the likelihood of more aggressive monetary tightening and weighed talks that China may ease COVID restrictions.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) advanced 1.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) jumped more than 400 points, or about 1.3%. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) posted a gain of roughly the same magnitude. Still, all three major averages were down for the week. The Dow finished down for the first time in five weeks.
The U.S. economy added 261,000 jobs in October, while September's reading was upwardly revised to 315,000 from 263,000 previously reported, the Labor Department said Friday. Economists expected a payroll gain of 195,000 last month, according to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.7%.
"Today’s stronger than expected report illustrates the difficult task that still lies ahead for the Fed wrestling a resilient labor market and sticky inflation," Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley's Global Investment Office, said in emailed comments. "While the number may be disappointing for investors hoping for a dovish Fed sooner rather than later, keep in mind it was the lowest reading in nearly two years, so there could be signs that the market is slowing."
Investors have bet that some signs of a cooling labor market would force the Federal Reserve to scale back on its aggressive rate-hiking campaign, but Chair Jerome Powell asserted Wednesday that slight moderations in the data were not enough for a pause on increases, with labor conditions still historically tight.
“Although job vacancies have moved below their highs and the pace of job gains has slowed from earlier in the year, the labor market continues to be out of balance, with demand substantially exceeding the supply of available workers,” Powell said on Wednesday after the U.S. central bank delivered a fourth straight interest rate hike of 75 basis points.
In the third quarter of this year, payroll gains averaged 372,000 per month. Weekly jobless claims, the most timely snapshot of the U.S. labor market, have also come in consistently low, with this week’s reading at 217,000.
“Initial claims are not increasing one bit,” DataTrek’s Nicholas Colas said in a note. “Simply put, there is still no sign that neither aggressive Fed monetary policy nor the tighter financial conditions that it has brought is yet hitting U.S. labor markets.”